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The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Gender Recognition Act, Tags: Gender Recognition Act, Gender Recognition Reform, Panelbase, poll, survey. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. Please try different keywords. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. 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Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . We list the most recent surveys: Wings Over Scotland poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 14 Feb 2023: Confirmation Bias for BeginnersFull results, By well over 2 to 1, respondents felt that they were being let down by the people who are supposed to speak for them. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. 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YouGov found . Indeed between October 2020 and January 2021, the two major parties were running neck and neck. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Scottish independence. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. Entering the summer, levels of Conservative support took a sudden 3% hit following the resignation of then health secretary, Matt Hancock, in June 2021. In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? 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In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. Jeremy Corbyn is not allowed to stand as a Labour MP at the next election would he still get your vote? YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. N.B. Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. In all polls the dont knows are removed. independence? Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. /Which party are you most inclined to support? This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Business & professional services. Question asked is stated in notes field. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. Don't miss out! Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. on public opinion. Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? Charities & not-for-profit. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techme (10 February) which placed Labour on 47%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. @BritainElects. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity.